Bitcoin miners are a crucial part of the Bitcoin network, and their actions can provide insights into the future of the market. Ki Young Ju, founder of the analytics platform Cryptoquant, has been closely watching miner behavior and believes they are currently in a capitulation trend.
What is Miner Capitulation?
Capitulation is when miners surrender to the current market trend, which is bearish in this case. They are selling their Bitcoin holdings, likely due to low prices and declining profits.
Why Does Capitulation Matter?
- New Bitcoin Supply: Miners create new Bitcoin, so their actions directly impact the supply available in the market.
- Market Sentiment: Miner capitulation can be a signal of a bearish market sentiment, as they are essentially giving up on the short-term prospects of Bitcoin.
Capitulation is Likely to Continue
According to Cryptoquant, the average daily mined Bitcoin is currently at 72% of the yearly average, significantly higher than the 40% threshold that typically marks the end of capitulation. This suggests that miners are still selling their Bitcoin, and the capitulation phase is likely to continue for some time.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite the current bearish market, Ki Young Ju maintains a long-term bullish outlook on Bitcoin. He believes that the next 2-3 months will be relatively uneventful and “boring,” with little price movement. He advises investors to avoid taking on too much risk during this period.
Mt. Gox Bitcoin Sale: No Impact on the Market
There was recent concern about the sale of 47,000 Bitcoin from the Mt. Gox exchange. However, Cryptoquant believes this transaction was simply an internal transfer and will not have a significant impact on the market price.
Even if it was a sale, it was likely an over-the-counter (OTC) deal, which would have minimal impact on the broader market. Furthermore, the transaction did not go through brokers or exchanges, meaning it did not directly affect the supply available on the market. Finally, there was no noticeable spike in trading volume, indicating that the Mt. Gox sale was not driving market activity. /p>
