Bitcoin’s price has been pretty sluggish lately, especially on weekends in 2025. After a good start to the week, it dipped back down to around $84,000 and then even lower, below $83,000 on Saturday, March 29th. But some interesting data suggests things might be looking up.
A Look at the Sell-Side Risk Ratio
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out something interesting: Bitcoin’s “sell-side risk ratio” is really low. This ratio measures potential selling pressure by comparing realized profits and losses to the total market capitalization.
- High ratio: Means lots of selling pressure, often seen at the end of bull markets or during bear market crashes.
- Low ratio: Suggests less selling pressure, typical of calmer market periods.
The ratio recently dropped to around 0.086%. Historically, whenever it falls below 0.1%, Bitcoin’s price has bounced back. This happened in January 2024 (leading to a then-all-time high of $73,737) and again in September 2024 (leading to the current all-time high).
Could History Repeat Itself?
Based on this pattern, the low sell-side risk ratio could signal another Bitcoin price rebound. However, it’s important to remember that past rebounds were also helped by positive news, like the launch of US Bitcoin ETFs or major political events.
Bitcoin’s Current Price
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $83,100, down about 2% in the last 24 hours.
