Bitcoin’s price has always been a rollercoaster. It booms, it busts – that’s just the nature of the beast. But one analyst, Xanrox from TradingView, thinks we’re heading for a big drop.
The Prediction: A Big Dip in 2026
Xanrox predicts Bitcoin will hit a new high of $125,000 in 2025, only to crash down to $50,000 by 2026. He bases this on historical data, showing Bitcoin typically crashes by 77% to 86% every four years. This time, he thinks the drop will be “only” around 65%, thanks to a more mature market and institutional involvement.
The Timing: Bull Run and Bear Market Cycles
Xanrox’s analysis shows Bitcoin bull markets usually last between 742 and 1065 days, followed by bear markets lasting 344 to 413 days. He believes we’re in the final stretch of the current bull run, ending sometime between February and November 2025.
The Halving Factor
A key factor in Xanrox’s prediction is Bitcoin’s halving cycle. Every four years, the reward for Bitcoin miners is cut in half, impacting the supply of new Bitcoin. This event has historically coincided with significant price movements.
Advice for Investors
Xanrox advises selling near the predicted 2025 peak. He urges investors to ignore overly optimistic predictions of Bitcoin reaching $500,000 or $1 million, calling those targets unrealistic. He sees the potential crash as a buying opportunity for those who understand Bitcoin’s cyclical nature. For savvy investors prepared for the dip, it could be a chance to make some serious profits.
The Bottom Line
While no one can predict the future with certainty, Xanrox’s analysis provides a compelling case for a significant Bitcoin price correction in 2026. Whether it hits exactly $50,000 remains to be seen, but his prediction highlights the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market.
