Past Halving Cycles as a Guide
According to Rekt Capital, a cryptocurrency expert, Bitcoin’s price has historically surged after each Halving, an event that reduces the supply of new Bitcoin.
In the past two cycles, Bitcoin peaked within 518 to 546 days after the Halving. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could reach its peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025.
Post-Halving “Danger Zone”
Rekt Capital notes that Bitcoin has often experienced a decline in the three weeks following the Halving. This “Danger Zone” could bring a drop to the $60,600 range.
Parabolic Growth Phase
After the “Danger Zone,” Bitcoin typically enters a “Re-Accumulation Range” where it consolidates for up to 150 days. Once it breaks out of this range, it enters a parabolic growth phase, leading to a new all-time high.
Current Market Conditions
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is down over 5% in the past week, trading at $62,504. However, its trading volume has increased by over 22% in the last 24 hours.
Conclusion
Based on historical trends, Rekt Capital predicts that Bitcoin could peak in late 2025. However, there may be some volatility in the short term, including a potential decline in the “Danger Zone.” After this period, Bitcoin could enter a parabolic growth phase, leading to a new all-time high.
