A crypto analyst who correctly predicted the 2022 crypto market crash is sounding the alarm again. They believe Bitcoin (BTC) could be nearing a peak and is due for a significant correction.
Reasons for Concern
The analyst, known only as “Capo,” cites several reasons for their bearish outlook:
-
Overly Bullish Sentiment: The market is currently very optimistic, with many retail investors piling into Bitcoin and memecoins. This is seen as a potential warning sign.
-
Memecoin Rally: The recent surge in memecoins appears unsustainable and could trigger a broader market correction.
-
Trump’s Delayed Influence: The analyst points out that President-elect Trump’s pro-crypto stance won’t impact policy until January, leaving the current administration in control. They suggest the Democrats might be trying to undermine the incoming administration through actions like potentially provoking a war.
-
Government Bitcoin Holdings: The US government holds a significant amount of Bitcoin, and the analyst speculates they might strategically sell some to negatively impact the price before Trump takes office.
-
Technical Indicators: The analyst notes a divergence between the strength of the US dollar and Bitcoin’s price rise, suggesting a potential correction. Many altcoins are also showing weakness.
-
Market Dominance: The current market is largely driven by Bitcoin and memecoins, which is considered a risky imbalance. The analyst anticipates a potential 60-80% drop in altcoins if their prediction is correct.
The Bottom Line
Capo believes Bitcoin could hit a local top at any time, leading to a significant retracement of recent gains. While Bitcoin is currently trading around $98,994, the analyst advises caution. This is not financial advice; investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.